MIDCARE © Operational — UHL ED Attendees

Annual ED growth rate (CAGR)

4.60% / yr

Initial attendees (2014)

55,502 people

Conversion rate (ED → trolley)

33.3%

Average presentations per day

230 per day

Average length of stay (days)

5.0 days

Apply LOS to trolley demand

Critical mass / cap K (for markers)

60,000 people

Growth style

Using exponential growth (dA = r·A) for frontline use.

Note: This model uses exponential growth (dA = r·A) for frontline operational use. A logistic growth version (with capacity cap K) is available on request to test scenarios.

Historic UHL MW total (2014–2025) ED Attendees UHL (simulated 2014–2050) Trolleys (cubicles) required | Vertical dashed lines = years when ED first reaches K, 2K, 3K…